O Outlytic
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Simulated trading only. Results are hypothetical, omit real-world execution frictions, and are not investment advice. See the Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure.
Game

Historical Replay

Trade through a real but undisclosed historical period. Predict the next day, manage positions, and reveal the dates only when the round ends.

Open replay →
Game

Market Simulator

Generate future basket paths using bootstrap, correlated Monte Carlo, or heavy-tail models, then trade the synthetic market.

Open simulator →
One-minute / one-hour signals

My Predictions

Run your threshold, cross-back-below, directional-bias, and four-band ThinkScript logic with historical replay, repeat steps, and undo.

Open My Predictions →
Forecast workbench

Price Prediction

Compare bootstrap, block-bootstrap, correlated Monte Carlo, and heavy-tail Student-t projections at once, with bands, forward stepping, and one-step undo.

Open prediction workbench →
Analysis

Portfolio Projection

Run hundreds or thousands of paths and compare terminal values, drawdowns, probability of profit, VaR, and expected shortfall.

Run projection →
Backtest

Strategy Backtester

Test price-based stock and ETF rules with costs, benchmark comparison, drawdowns, monthly returns, and an exportable trade ledger.

Run backtest →
Game

Options Simulator

Build calls, puts, and multi-leg positions, then advance price, IV, Greeks, time decay, expiration, settlement, and account P/L.

Open options game →

Available simulation models

Each model answers a different question; none can predict actual returns.

Historical bootstrapResamples real historical days.
Block bootstrapResamples consecutive return blocks to preserve short-term clustering.
Correlated Monte CarloUses historical means, volatilities, and cross-asset covariance.
Heavy-tail Student-tAllows more extreme simulated moves than a normal model.